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Old Aug 01, 2010, 12:20am   #6
killcrazy
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SwoopAE View Post
Assume we call the flop as you suggest.

Turn is 8d

Villain bets 330

What's your plan for the hand from here?
you have two apparently reasonable options on a brick, play back at him and flat both have pros and cons; you probably have the better hand but all the draws are still live, and we're not just worried about flush and straight draws of course, we're worried about bigger two pair draws too. flatting isn't the end of the world because he might keep betting or check-call the river putting you on a busted draw, but we likely have the best hand right now (and having 3 pairs means there are only 6 (omaha makes this a tad more complex but you know what i'm saying here) ways to make sets, half of which are 22 and there aren't too many XX22 raising hands) and the equity balance of made hand vs draw has moved enormously in our favour now that he only has one card to spike. raising seems merited.

other thoughts. if we raise the flop and he calls we narrow his range down to good but not awesome draws and some two pairs. if we flat he still has everything he raised preflop in his range when the turn hits, he also has significantly less information about our hand, doesn't know if we're made or drawing, lots of ways for him to make mistakes. all told, we create a much more profitable turn scenario with the flop call.

Quote:
Alternatively, turn is 9d or 2s. What's the plan?
lose less money than you do by raising the flop. my turn action would be heavily intestine based if a draw card hits and he donks.

Kc
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