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Old Feb 14, 2011, 3:36am   #1
TWLLM
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Default Last 5 days graph

Special for Swoop. I'll see if I can recover hands back to the start of January. This is all PLO cash. According to this graph (which I think is an EXTREME underestimate -- see below) I'm running about $1,300 below EV over the past 5 days at 100plo.






My apologies about the size.



FWIW, I don't put much trust in the graph. I'm pretty sure I've been much more unlucky that this. There's an interesting discussion on duecescracked by KasinoKrime about using EV graphs in PLO in particular.

For instance, in a lot of the hands I've been getting fucked over on, the EV graph will appear to show a losing play where it's actually a standard winning play. For instance, shoving half your stack with aaxx into kkxx, is a +EV play globally. But if your opponent flops the K, then it'll show up as a -EV play because the computer does not recognize that the kkxx will pay off any flop except basically axx, which means, really, you're playing for stacks at the preflop odds.


Another problem with the EV graphs is that it doesn't take into account coolers (of which I've posted quite a few over the last days), nor can it account for the fact that I often end up folding after an opponent makes an obvious suckout in a big pot. In PLO these hands are very rarely bluffs, but since there's no showdown, there's no representation on the EV graph.


But in any event, this is a best case scenario for my EV gap (i.e. the smallest gap it could be), and I'm like $1,300 below EV for the last 5 days. Barf.
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Originally Posted by DoubleU
Oh, and obviously, TWLLM, we'd all rather you just ruled with an iron fist of nittiness and made all decisions without consultation, but that goes without saying, right?

Last edited by TWLLM; Feb 14, 2011 at 3:42am.
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