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Old Feb 22, 2012, 5:54pm   #1
darryl
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This was a live 1-2 PLO game with a 5 dollar button straddle. I was a bit short stacked at $280 or so. I was bb, villain was late position and had me covered by double or so.

I'm dealt jt97 two spades. SB folds, I call the $5, a raise to $25 from mid, one call, villain calls, folds to me, I call. $100 in the pot.

Flop is A68 rainbow giving me 13 outs for the nut straight with redraws for a higher straight. I'm first to act and put out a pot sized bet with the hope of taking it down, but planning on going all in blind on the turn against this particular villain and seeing the turn card against anyone else.

The villain is very loose, calls down with low hands in small pots, likes to try to bully. My image is very tight and I've been getting some respect.

Only the villain calls, so I stuck to the plan and went all in blind on the turn.
Good move?

My thoughts are against this villain is that even with a naked pair of aces, he would probably call my bet and hope for improvement on the turn. He could call with a straight draw, but 95% of the time, it will be worse than mine, or to the non nut straight. If he did manage to have 2 pair, he may have raised, even if he just called, i'm still in good shape and a blind bet could convince him that I'm on a set and possibly get a fold out of him. If he had a set and did raise my flop bet, I'm still committed and would have to call anyway. It's pretty unlikely he had a set and didn't raise though.

Obviously if I was deeper stacked, I'd consider my options more on the turn.

-d
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Old Feb 23, 2012, 2:40am   #2
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preflop is a little bit speculative but okay.

how likely are you to get a bet from someone if you check the flop?

also that's screwy, any time i've played with a button blind the action still starts to the left of the BB.

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Old Feb 23, 2012, 12:23pm   #3
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I'd say it's about 60% or so that there's a bet on the flop. I had been very quiet, so being first to act, if I pot it I figured most of the players would assume I've got a set or top two, We were 6 handed if that matters.

Yeah, the button straddle where I play favors the button way too much, but it's nice when you're the button.

-d
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Old Feb 23, 2012, 3:59pm   #4
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Was there a spade on flop?
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Old Feb 23, 2012, 5:05pm   #5
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Honestly, I don't remember, but I don't think there was. If there was, I wouldn't have that influence my decision a whole lot, I guess though if the turn was another space, it would be easier to get it all in.
For this example, lets say no spade.

-d
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Old Feb 23, 2012, 5:50pm   #6
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the backdoor flush is worth a few percent, be aware of it.

my default line here is going to be a check-shove. i can make a bigger bet that way and so improve my fold equity, might also get some dead money from someone who calls and then either folds or overcalls with a second best hand.

Kc
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