Quote:
Originally Posted by Yads
Quote:
Originally Posted by 92hatchattack
lets say im drawing on a flush.... which means i have 9 outs right??? meaning that i have about a 20% chance of hitting??? correct???
now, if the bet to me is $2, and there is $8 in the pot that will equal $10, and my $2 would be 20% of the pot..... and i should probaly call right????

No this is incorrect. you have 9 outs so the odds of you hitting on the next card are 38:9 or about 4:1 (47 unseen cards 9 of which help you, so 38 cards don't help you) so in the first example the pot is offering you odds of 10:2 (8 in the pot plus an opponents bet) which is 5:1 so the pot is offering you good odds. Why? well 4 times out of 5 you will lose $2 and the other time you will win 10 (when you hit your flush) so 104*2=2 so for every 5 times this scenario happens you will win $2.

I think 92 hatchattack got it right and Yads made a mistake.
You agree that the probability is about 20%. (This is equal to 1/5 which is equivalent to 4:1 odds). I agree with this too. But you shouldn't compare the odds with (8+2)/2. You should either compare the
probability with (8+2)/2 or the
odds with 8/2.
If I'm not expressing myself clearly enough here, I recommend
this post and the other one I posted later in the same thread.
Edit: Actually I see now that I misunderstood what 92hatchattack said. I thought there was $8 in the pot
after the opponent had bet. This is obviously not what he meant. He meant that there was $10 in the pot after the opponent had bet.
This misunderstanding made me think that Yads had made a mistake that I've seen others make before, but that conclusion was incorrect.