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Old Dec 19, 2007, 1:16pm   #1
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Default Longrun Definitionsfrage

Wie lange muss man eigentlich spielen damit das mit + (wenn man gut spielt) im Longrun hinkommt? Können das auch mehrere Jahre sein?
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Old Dec 19, 2007, 1:18pm   #2
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The longrun is allways longer than You think sir...

Nicht die Zeit ist entscheidend sondern die Anzahl an Händen. Wenn Du täglich 8 Stunden 6 Tische multitablest wird es wohl wesentlich kürzer dauern als mit 5 Stunden pro Woche an einem Tisch...

Also signifikante Ergebnisse hat man imo ab 50K Händen ca. als erste Einschätzung, ab 100K wirds wirklich realistisch...
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Old Dec 19, 2007, 1:34pm   #3
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da gabs letztens mal nen thread dazu mit einem link, wo jemand die varianz über eine verscheidene anzahl von händen (10k,50k,100k,usw) mit fester winrate (z.b. 3BB/100) simuliert hat.
bin jetz zu faul zu suchen, aber afair war die varianz sogar bei 100k noch relativ hoch (waren breakeven graphen dabei)
also richtig sicher kannst dir wohl erst mit 500k+ sein, aber 100-200k sollten nen sehr guten anhaltspunkt geben
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Old Dec 20, 2007, 4:28pm   #4
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http://fold4value.blogspot.com/2007/06/varianz.html
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Old Dec 20, 2007, 9:46pm   #5
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