NL50 board pairs turn, nut straight

[Banalanal]

BTN: $101.09 19/16 agg 2.4 wtsd 28
SB: $215.71
BB: $144.14
UTG: $76.15
Hero (CO): $50.00
Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero is CO with J T
UTG calls $0.50, Hero raises to $2.50, BTN calls $2.50, 2 folds, UTG calls $2
Flop: ($8.25) A Q K (3 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $6.00, BTN calls $6, UTG folds
Turn: ($20.25) Q (2 players)
Hero bets $13.75, BTN raises to $61.50,

My general read on him is that he's not overly aggresive, and probably a breakeven reg.

All I'm thinking on the turn is that he should have raised two pair on the flop, but I just don't beat that much versus his shove....

Felt the turn bet was necesarry as he calls with flush draws, and hands like AJ A10, QJ, Q10...

Pot odds almost 3:1. Prelop is standard iso fish.

[darryl]

I would think he would raise any two pair on the flop knowing you must have hit something or you would fold your under pp if you were dumb enough to bet that.

If he had trips, he probably would have reraised preflop. He probably has QJ or QT. If he's pretty loose on the button, maybe just Qrag. I suppose if he has KQ, or even AQ then nh, I'm still probably getting it in.

Hmmm... you probably wouldn't have posted if he did have QJ which is my guess. But since you posted, he probably had KQ

-d

[killcrazy]

is he really raising on the turn with a boat?

only if he's an idiot.

Kc

[shabak]

yeah villain waits for more scare cards to come so hell get zero value for Ax hands.

still im stacking off here.

[DoubleU]

Meh, he has enough QJ/QT combos, I stack here.

[Mr Beaks]

Standard action here from AQ / KQ at these levels would be to min-raise or flat call the turn and jam the river. Given the large raise on the turn I can't see this being a boat because he's obviously repping the boat. Also I see a 19/16 3b AQ preflop from the button against a limp and a raise.

[Ozone]

0% chance I'm folding.

[jimmytrick]

If this were long handed I would say:

vs OP a 19.16 won't cold call with QT/QJ much but will flat with a big pair often.

[DoubleU]

Wat

Are you even reading the same hand history? With both blinds and an utg limper still to act behind him, a villain that's not braindead has QQ+ exactly 0% of the time here. Flatting would be absolutely horrible (barring, for example, some guy in the big blind that squeezes 90% of the time).

[killcrazy]

Originally Posted by jimmytrick

If this were long handed I would say:

vs OP a 19.16 won't cold call with QT/QJ much but will flat with a big pair often.

wreeeeeeee wreeeheeeeheeeeeeeee

Kc