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Old Oct 23, 2005, 7:54pm   #21
Lord Mushroom
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Thanks a lot Snaggle for really helping me with the missing pieces of the puzzle.

I think Hilger DID mean 10 hours per week:
10 hours per week = roughly 40 hours per month
$1600 : 40hrs = $40/hr or 1BB/hr on $20-40

How high is the probability of going broke if you start at $0.05-0.10 on Pacific with only $20 (25 including the bonus) with only the knowledge gained from step 1 and 3?
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Old Oct 23, 2005, 8:18pm   #22
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What a ridiculous question.
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Old Oct 23, 2005, 10:35pm   #23
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I have done the calculations and the probability of going broke is 71.3411976%. Any other questions?
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Old Oct 23, 2005, 10:52pm   #24
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Subversive
I have done the calculations and the probability of going broke is 71.3411976%. Any other questions?
WHAT???

71.3411976%???????

try 71.3411977% - What were you thinking?
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Old Oct 23, 2005, 10:53pm   #25
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Bah. Math is hard.
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Old Oct 24, 2005, 1:00am   #26
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Lord Mushroom, thinking of all the money you will earn in the future and making big master plans is almost certainly the wrong way to start playing/ learning poker, IMO.

If you are not interested in the game but just in earning money, you won't be winning any!

So go ahead, grab a good book (Hilger's ITH is all right, Miller/Sklansky/Malmuth's SSH is more advanced), work your way through and start playing for a few weeks, applying what you have read.

You said you only have a couple of hours of poker experience. Are you sure you like it? Maybe after a few weeks of playing you realize you don't. And then all the time and work you invested in asking questions an writing guides and master plans was for nothing.

Just my two cents.
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Old Oct 24, 2005, 3:15am   #27
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well he's from Norway and might even be one of Gus Hansen bacgammon group.I bet Gus has inspired a lot Norwegians to play poker
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Old Oct 24, 2005, 10:30am   #28
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Quote:
How high is the probability of going broke if you start at $0.05-0.10 on Pacific with only $20 (25 including the bonus) with only the knowledge gained from step 1 and 3?

How high? Six inches. But then, as my wife says, never ask a man to estimate - he'll always exaggerate.

Lord Mushroom, I'm not going to try and trawl through your 'guide', less still implement it. As I said previously, such ventures are doomed to incompleteness and inaccuracy before you start. And, by your own admission, none of it is backed up with experience.

As for going broke on Pacific with an initial deposit, I think it is possible to stay afloat at microlimits with the minimum deposit, though only by playing the tightest of tight games and counter to Pacific's predominant player culture. But surely only recreational players are likely to be happy playing 5/10c poker for hours on end, and the purely recreationals do not like folding preflop 20 hands on the bounce.
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Old Oct 24, 2005, 7:11pm   #29
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Hi

I'm going to write a guide to building a nuclear reactor

I've never done this of course, but I know I'm going to need some kind of uranium derived fuel source. In the absense of plutonium, I've decided to go with dog fur.

i don't have any lead so i've had to draw a radiation shield on computer paper and attach it with electrical tape.

obviously as I have no actual experience of reactor design i've had to make a number of illogical guesses regarding rate of reaction, field containment and early position play.

Safe disposal of radioactive waste is a key problem to overcome, but I've rung the council and they're going to pick it up off the kerb outside my flat every Sunday morning.

I've also been taking dancing lessons, which I view as a positive use of my time in spite of my inability to walk, run or jump at this juncture.

Kc
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Old Oct 24, 2005, 7:15pm   #30
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Hey hey, welcome back you great Yin.
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