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Old Oct 14, 2010, 4:12am   #1
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Default NFL Week 6

Fade or Follow I'll continue to post logical but tragically flawed NFL analysis

In an early look this week, KC gave Indy all they caould handle and I think they'll continue their inspired play. KC is 6-2 vs the # since last year as a road dog and this Houston paper tiger has only gone 2-5-2 as a home favorite.
I'll take the 4 1/2 with the Chiefs
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Old Oct 14, 2010, 5:35pm   #2
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so far this year I'm 0-4 in games involving the pats but that won't stop me from throwing this opinion out.
I like the points with Balt this week. Ray Rice is healthy and he torched the pats twice last year to the tune of 262 yards rushing on 33 carries with 2 TD's. He added 49 yards on 5 catches.

The Pats will probably have to revert to a dink and dunk passing offence with Moss gone meaning imo that there will not be many points scored. The oddsmakers don;t agree with me making the over/under 44 1/2 but what the hell do they know?? LOL
I expect a tight low scoring game with balt a good bet to win outright
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Old Oct 15, 2010, 3:17am   #3
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some interesting #'s courtesy of the boys from Cold Hard Football facts
  • In 2007, half of Brady’s picks (4 of eight) came when targeting Moss.
  • In 2008, Cassel threw 4 of his 11 picks when targeting Moss.
  • In 2009, more than half of Brady’s picks (8 of 13) came when targeting Moss.
  • In 2010, both of Brady’s picks (2 of 2) came when targeting Moss.
"In other words, the numbers confirm what you might have expected: targeting a deep threat, even a rare and elite performer like Moss, is a high-risk, high-reward venture. And, over time, the risks rose and the rewards declined. "


Guess Farve should be careful huh?
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Old Oct 15, 2010, 3:46am   #4
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dude the chiefs are the sucker bet of the week. This is the worst spot bet you can possibly come up with.

Houston was embarrassed last week and they are a good proud team and andre johnson is 1 week healthier and foster is 1 week healthier.

The chiefs put everything they had against the colts and lost, they will be drained. Plus, Matt Cassel sucks and cannot contend with Shaub.

I think its obvious who i am betting

Last edited by PocketJokers; Oct 15, 2010 at 3:49am.
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Old Oct 15, 2010, 12:46pm   #5
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Originally Posted by PocketJokers View Post
dude the chiefs are the sucker bet of the week. This is the worst spot bet you can possibly come up with.

Houston was embarrassed last week and they are a good proud team and andre johnson is 1 week healthier and foster is 1 week healthier.

The chiefs put everything they had against the colts and lost, they will be drained. Plus, Matt Cassel sucks and cannot contend with Shaub.

I think its obvious who i am betting
Good Luck my friend fading me has been the play this year.

And Yes i agree Cassel sucks, the Chiefs have been winning dispite him
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Old Oct 16, 2010, 3:11pm   #6
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late plays...I like TB plus the points

Also think classic letdown spot for the Jets, I like Denver as a home dog
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Old Oct 16, 2010, 9:41pm   #7
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I'm taking Ravens +3, Rams +9 and probably Broncos +3. Should be interesting to see which of you turns out to be right on the KC/Hou game; I tend to lean towards PocketJoker's side of the bet.
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Old Oct 16, 2010, 10:25pm   #8
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Ozone View Post
I'm taking Ravens +3, Rams +9 and probably Broncos +3. Should be interesting to see which of you turns out to be right on the KC/Hou game; I tend to lean towards PocketJoker's side of the bet.
Wow im suprised you chose the broncos +3 1/2.
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Old Oct 16, 2010, 10:46pm   #9
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Ahh nice, that line did move to 3.5. I dunno... the Jets are really solid but they seem a bit over-hyped at the moment.
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Old Oct 18, 2010, 12:30am   #10
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bluesjack9 View Post
I'll take the 4 1/2 with the Chiefs
Final score: Chiefs 31 Texans 35

WEEEEEEE!!
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